{"id":9704,"date":"2026-05-21T21:28:25","date_gmt":"2026-05-21T19:28:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zoomafricanews.com\/?p=9704"},"modified":"2026-05-21T21:28:25","modified_gmt":"2026-05-21T19:28:25","slug":"%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%85%d8%b1%d9%83%d8%b2%d9%8a-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%85%d8%b5%d8%b1%d9%8a-%d9%8a%d8%ab%d8%a8%d8%aa-%d8%b3%d8%b9%d8%b1-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%81%d8%a7%d8%a6%d8%af%d8%a9-%d9%84%d9%84%d8%a7%d8%ac%d8%aa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zoomafricanews.com\/fr\/%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%85%d8%b1%d9%83%d8%b2%d9%8a-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%85%d8%b5%d8%b1%d9%8a-%d9%8a%d8%ab%d8%a8%d8%aa-%d8%b3%d8%b9%d8%b1-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%81%d8%a7%d8%a6%d8%af%d8%a9-%d9%84%d9%84%d8%a7%d8%ac%d8%aa\/","title":{"rendered":"La Banque centrale d'\u00c9gypte maintient ses taux d'int\u00e9r\u00eat pour la deuxi\u00e8me r\u00e9union cons\u00e9cutive."},"content":{"rendered":"

\u00c9crit par Ziad Abdel Fattah<\/strong>:<\/p>\n

Le Comit\u00e9 de politique mon\u00e9taire de la Banque centrale d'\u00c9gypte a d\u00e9cid\u00e9, lors de sa r\u00e9union du jeudi 21 mai 2026, de maintenir taux d'int\u00e9r\u00eat<\/a> Les fondamentaux restent inchang\u00e9s. En cons\u00e9quence, les taux de d\u00e9p\u00f4t et de pr\u00eat au jour le jour, ainsi que le principal taux directeur de la banque centrale, ont \u00e9t\u00e9 maintenus respectivement \u00e0 19,00 %, 20,00 % et 19,50 %. Le taux de cr\u00e9dit et d'escompte a \u00e9galement \u00e9t\u00e9 maintenu \u00e0 19,50 %.<\/p>\n

Cette d\u00e9cision est conforme \u00e0 l\u2019analyse du Comit\u00e9 concernant l\u2019\u00e9volution et les pr\u00e9visions les plus r\u00e9centes en mati\u00e8re d\u2019inflation, dans un contexte ext\u00e9rieur incertain.<\/p>\n

L'activit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique mondiale continue de cro\u00eetre.<\/h2>\n
\"\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u064a
La Banque centrale d'\u00c9gypte maintient ses taux d'int\u00e9r\u00eat pour la deuxi\u00e8me r\u00e9union cons\u00e9cutive.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Selon un communiqu\u00e9 de la Banque centrale d'\u00c9gypte, l'activit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique mondiale a continu\u00e9 de cro\u00eetre, quoique l\u00e9g\u00e8rement, dans un contexte de tensions g\u00e9opolitiques persistantes, d'incertitudes quant aux politiques commerciales et de faiblesse de la demande mondiale.<\/p>\n

Concernant l'inflation, les r\u00e9centes hausses ont incit\u00e9 les banques centrales \u00e0 adopter des politiques mon\u00e9taires prudentes. Quant aux mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res, les march\u00e9s de l'\u00e9nergie ont connu une certaine volatilit\u00e9, avec une forte augmentation des prix du p\u00e9trole brut Brent et du gaz naturel dans un contexte de tensions g\u00e9opolitiques croissantes qui ont affect\u00e9 l'approvisionnement \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique mondial.<\/p>\n

Lire aussi\u00a0: Le banquier Hani Aboul-Fotouh a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 \u00e0 Zoom Africa News : \u00ab Je m'attends \u00e0 ce que le taux d'int\u00e9r\u00eat reste inchang\u00e9 lors de la r\u00e9union de la Banque centrale. \u00bb<\/a><\/p>\n

Parall\u00e8lement, les prix des produits agricoles ont subi des pressions \u00e0 la hausse, en partie \u00e0 cause de l'augmentation du co\u00fbt des engrais suite \u00e0 la hausse des prix du gaz, ainsi que de la hausse des primes de risque li\u00e9es au commerce international.<\/p>\n

Les perspectives mondiales sont vuln\u00e9rables<\/h2>\n

Par cons\u00e9quent, les perspectives mondiales demeurent fragiles, notamment face \u00e0 l\u2019escalade des tensions g\u00e9opolitiques, aux perturbations des cha\u00eenes d\u2019approvisionnement et aux \u00e9volutions d\u00e9favorables des politiques commerciales. Sur le plan national, la croissance du PIB r\u00e9el a l\u00e9g\u00e8rement ralenti \u00e0 5,0 % au premier trimestre 2026, contre 5,3 % au quatri\u00e8me trimestre 2025.<\/p>\n

La croissance devrait \u00e9galement ralentir au cours du deuxi\u00e8me trimestre 2026 en raison des r\u00e9percussions du conflit en cours dans la r\u00e9gion. En cons\u00e9quence, la Banque centrale d'\u00c9gypte anticipe une croissance du PIB r\u00e9el d'environ 5 % pour l'exercice 2025\/2026, la production restant inf\u00e9rieure \u00e0 son potentiel maximal, qui devrait \u00eatre atteint au cours du premier semestre 2027.<\/p>\n

L'\u00e9volution actuelle de l'\u00e9cart de production laisse pr\u00e9sager que les pressions inflationnistes li\u00e9es \u00e0 la demande resteront limit\u00e9es \u00e0 court terme, compte tenu de la politique mon\u00e9taire mise en \u0153uvre durant la p\u00e9riode de pr\u00e9vision. Sur le march\u00e9 du travail, le taux de ch\u00f4mage s'est \u00e9tabli \u00e0 6,0 % au premier trimestre 2026, contre 6,2 % au trimestre pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent.<\/p>\n

Ralentissement de l'inflation<\/h2>\n

Concernant l'\u00e9volution de l'inflation en avril 2026, on a observ\u00e9 un l\u00e9ger ralentissement, le taux d'inflation annuel global passant de 15,2 % en mars 2026 \u00e0 14,9 %, tandis que le taux d'inflation sous-jacente annuel a \u00e9galement diminu\u00e9, passant de 14,0 % \u00e0 13,8 % sur la m\u00eame p\u00e9riode. Sur une base mensuelle, ce ralentissement de l'inflation globale s'explique par une baisse significative de l'inflation alimentaire, qui a compens\u00e9 la hausse saisonni\u00e8re constat\u00e9e le mois pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent.<\/p>\n

L'inflation hors produits alimentaires s'est \u00e9galement stabilis\u00e9e \u00e0 ses niveaux r\u00e9cents, ce qui s'explique par le caract\u00e8re temporaire de l'impact des ajustements des prix de l'\u00e9nergie de mars 2026, \u00e9vitant ainsi une escalade inflationniste plus importante. \u00c0 plus long terme, le taux d'inflation annuel devrait s'acc\u00e9l\u00e9rer au cours du troisi\u00e8me trimestre 2026, en partie \u00e0 cause d'effets de base d\u00e9favorables, mais aussi en raison des tensions sur l'offre li\u00e9es au conflit en cours, aux fluctuations des taux de change et aux mesures d'assainissement budg\u00e9taire qui en d\u00e9coulent.<\/p>\n

Le taux d'inflation annuel pourrait d\u00e9passer l'objectif.<\/h2>\n

Le taux annuel d\u2019inflation devrait d\u00e9passer son objectif de 7 % (\u00b12 points de pourcentage) en moyenne au cours du dernier trimestre 2026, avant de ralentir progressivement au cours du premier trimestre 2027 et de converger vers cet objectif au cours du second semestre 2027.<\/p>\n

Cette trajectoire sera soutenue par un resserrement de la politique mon\u00e9taire, une \u00e9valuation continue des sources de pressions inflationnistes et des tendances mensuelles de l'inflation, la consolidation des anticipations d'inflation et un engagement ferme en faveur d'un r\u00e9gime de change flexible. Cependant, la trajectoire d'inflation projet\u00e9e demeure soumise \u00e0 des risques de hausse, notamment la possibilit\u00e9 d'un conflit prolong\u00e9 et des effets des mesures d'assainissement budg\u00e9taire sup\u00e9rieurs aux pr\u00e9visions.<\/p>\n

Maintien des taux d'int\u00e9r\u00eat directeurs inchang\u00e9s<\/h2>\n

Au vu de ce qui pr\u00e9c\u00e8de, le Comit\u00e9 de politique mon\u00e9taire a d\u00e9cid\u00e9 de maintenir les taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat directeurs inchang\u00e9s, en se fondant notamment sur les facteurs alimentant les pressions inflationnistes et l\u2019\u00e9volution effective de l\u2019inflation, compte tenu en particulier du contexte d\u2019incertitude. Cette approche permet d\u2019\u00e9valuer les r\u00e9percussions du choc d\u2019offre actuel et son impact sur l\u2019\u00e9volution de l\u2019inflation, notamment au regard de la marge positive du taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat r\u00e9el sur l\u2019horizon de pr\u00e9vision.<\/p>\n

Le comit\u00e9 continue d'\u00e9valuer ses d\u00e9cisions visant \u00e0 rapprocher l'inflation de son niveau cible au cours du second semestre 2027, en tenant compte de l'\u00e9volution de la conjoncture \u00e9conomique, de la trajectoire attendue de l'inflation et des risques qui y sont associ\u00e9s.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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…<\/p>","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":9667,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[50,217,57],"tags":[3756,3757,3655,73,214],"class_list":["post-9704","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ecnmc-anls","category-slider","category-egypt","tag-3756","tag-3757","tag-3655","tag-73","tag-214"],"yoast_head":"\n\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u0631\u064a \u064a\u062b\u0628\u062a \u0633\u0639\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0627\u0626\u062f\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0644\u064a - Zoom Africa News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u0642\u0631\u0631\u062a \u0644\u062c\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0629 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