{"id":10019,"date":"2026-05-23T15:38:07","date_gmt":"2026-05-23T13:38:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zoomafricanews.com\/?p=10019"},"modified":"2026-05-23T15:38:07","modified_gmt":"2026-05-23T13:38:07","slug":"%d8%a8%d9%8a%d9%86-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%ad%d8%b5%d8%a7%d8%b1-%d9%88%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b9%d9%82%d9%88%d8%a8%d8%a7%d8%aa-%d9%84%d9%85%d8%a7%d8%b0%d8%a7-%d9%8a%d8%b5%d8%b9%d8%a8-%d8%aa%d9%83%d8%b1%d8%a7%d8%b1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zoomafricanews.com\/fr\/%d8%a8%d9%8a%d9%86-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%ad%d8%b5%d8%a7%d8%b1-%d9%88%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b9%d9%82%d9%88%d8%a8%d8%a7%d8%aa-%d9%84%d9%85%d8%a7%d8%b0%d8%a7-%d9%8a%d8%b5%d8%b9%d8%a8-%d8%aa%d9%83%d8%b1%d8%a7%d8%b1\/","title":{"rendered":"Entre l\u2019embargo et les sanctions\u2026 pourquoi est-il difficile de reproduire le sc\u00e9nario v\u00e9n\u00e9zu\u00e9lien \u00e0 Cuba\u00a0?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u00c9crit par : Mohamed Ragab<\/strong><\/p>\n

Les inqui\u00e9tudes internationales grandissent quant \u00e0 la possibilit\u00e9 d'une escalade am\u00e9ricaine en Am\u00e9rique latine, s'\u00e9tendant du Venezuela \u00e0 Cuba, notamment apr\u00e8s les r\u00e9centes mesures prises par l'administration du pr\u00e9sident am\u00e9ricain Donald Trump contre le gouvernement cubain, qui comprenaient de nouvelles sanctions et une escalade des mesures politiques et s\u00e9curitaires.<\/p>\n

Cependant, malgr\u00e9 la similitude de la rh\u00e9torique am\u00e9ricaine \u00e0 l'\u00e9gard des deux pays, les experts et les analystes estiment que le sc\u00e9nario v\u00e9n\u00e9zu\u00e9lien ne pourrait pas se reproduire facilement \u00e0 Cuba, en raison de diff\u00e9rences fondamentales dans la structure politique, \u00e9conomique et militaire de l'\u00eele carib\u00e9enne.<\/p>\n

Ces derni\u00e8res semaines, l'administration Trump a intensifi\u00e9 sa pression sur La Havane en imposant des sanctions aux dirigeants politiques et militaires cubains, en renfor\u00e7ant les restrictions \u00e9conomiques et en tentant d'asphyxier les approvisionnements p\u00e9troliers en provenance de l'\u00e9tranger, dans le cadre de la strat\u00e9gie de \u201c pression maximale \u201d men\u00e9e par le secr\u00e9taire d'\u00c9tat am\u00e9ricain, connu pour sa position intransigeante \u00e0 l'\u00e9gard de Cuba.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Diff\u00e9rences fondamentales entre Cuba et le Venezuela<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Les observateurs estiment que la diff\u00e9rence la plus significative entre les deux pays r\u00e9side dans la nature de leurs syst\u00e8mes politiques. Alors que le Venezuela a b\u00e9n\u00e9fici\u00e9 ces derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es d'une opposition politique forte et de personnalit\u00e9s capables d'agir tant sur le plan national qu'international, Cuba ne dispose pas d'une opposition organis\u00e9e b\u00e9n\u00e9ficiant d'un large soutien populaire et susceptible d'assurer une transition politique.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

L'arm\u00e9e cubaine est \u00e9galement plus unie et id\u00e9ologiquement plus align\u00e9e sur le r\u00e9gime en place que son homologue v\u00e9n\u00e9zu\u00e9lienne, qui a connu des divisions et des conflits internes ces derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es. Selon certaines informations, les services de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 cubains ont tir\u00e9 les le\u00e7ons de l'exp\u00e9rience de Caracas et se sont efforc\u00e9s de renforcer leur contr\u00f4le interne afin d'\u00e9viter un sc\u00e9nario similaire.<\/p>\n

De plus, la structure \u00e9conomique est nettement diff\u00e9rente, Cuba ne disposant pas d'\u00e9normes r\u00e9serves de p\u00e9trole comme le Venezuela, ce qui r\u00e9duit l'attrait d'une intervention \u00e9conomique ou d'investissement directe des \u00c9tats-Unis apr\u00e8s un \u00e9ventuel changement politique.<\/p>\n

L'\u00e9conomie cubaine est \u00e9galement soumise \u00e0 un contr\u00f4le central \u00e9tendu exerc\u00e9 par des institutions li\u00e9es \u00e0 l'arm\u00e9e, ce qui rend difficile son d\u00e9mant\u00e8lement ou sa restructuration rapide.<\/p>\n

Escalade des sanctions et des actions am\u00e9ricaines<\/span><\/h4>\n

Au cours du mois de mai, Washington a impos\u00e9 une s\u00e9rie de nouvelles sanctions visant des responsables militaires et politiques cubains, ainsi que des entreprises li\u00e9es \u00e0 l'establishment militaire cubain.<\/p>\n

Le minist\u00e8re am\u00e9ricain de la Justice a \u00e9galement annonc\u00e9 des poursuites p\u00e9nales contre l'ancien pr\u00e9sident cubain en lien avec la destruction d'avions civils en 1996.<\/p>\n

Ces \u00e9v\u00e9nements ont co\u00efncid\u00e9 avec des mouvements militaires am\u00e9ricains dans la r\u00e9gion des Cara\u00efbes, notamment le d\u00e9ploiement de navires de guerre et des contacts de renseignement avec des responsables cubains, alimentant les sp\u00e9culations quant \u00e0 la possibilit\u00e9 d'une escalade plus importante dans la p\u00e9riode \u00e0 venir.<\/p>\n

En revanche, le gouvernement cubain affirme que Washington cherche \u00e0 cr\u00e9er une crise \u00e9conomique suffocante sur l'\u00eele pour pousser la population \u00e0 l'explosion, tout en d\u00e9crivant les mesures am\u00e9ricaines comme une nouvelle tentative d'imposer un changement de r\u00e9gime par la force ou par un blocus \u00e9conomique.<\/p>\n

La strat\u00e9gie de \u201c pression maximale \u201d r\u00e9ussira-t-elle ?<\/span><\/h4>\n

Malgr\u00e9 la pression croissante, les experts doutent de la capacit\u00e9 des \u00c9tats-Unis \u00e0 r\u00e9aliser une perc\u00e9e rapide \u00e0 Cuba, d'autant plus que l'\u00eele a une longue exp\u00e9rience des sanctions am\u00e9ricaines qui durent depuis des d\u00e9cennies.<\/p>\n

La Havane cherche \u00e9galement des solutions alternatives en renfor\u00e7ant sa coop\u00e9ration avec la Russie, la Chine et certains pays d'Am\u00e9rique latine afin d'att\u00e9nuer les effets de la crise \u00e9conomique.<\/p>\n

Les analystes pr\u00e9viennent qu'un effondrement soudain de Cuba pourrait entra\u00eener des vagues migratoires massives vers les \u00c9tats-Unis, ainsi qu'un risque de troubles s\u00e9curitaires et humanitaires g\u00e9n\u00e9ralis\u00e9s dans la r\u00e9gion des Cara\u00efbes, ce qui pourrait inciter Washington \u00e0 \u00eatre plus prudent dans sa gestion de la question cubaine par rapport \u00e0 ce qui s'est pass\u00e9 au Venezuela.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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…<\/p>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3471,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,217],"tags":[351,510,73,3942,3943],"class_list":["post-10019","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tie-world","category-slider","tag-351","tag-510","tag-73","tag-3942","tag-3943"],"yoast_head":"\n\u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0642\u0648\u0628\u0627\u062a.. \u0644\u0645\u0627\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u0635\u0639\u0628 \u062a\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0641\u0646\u0632\u0648\u064a\u0644\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0643\u0648\u0628\u0627\u061f - Zoom Africa News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u062a\u062a\u0632\u0627\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0648\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0646 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